Central SC vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
54.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
4 - 2
CEN
71%
18%
10%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
YPI
0 - 5
CEN
26%
26%
48%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
CEN
2 - 1
ACA
60%
23%
17%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
AME
0 - 1
CEN
23%
24%
53%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
CEN
0 - 0
PES
53%
24%
23%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 1
NAU
26%
25%
49%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2014 |
BOT
1 - 1
NAU
34%
25%
41%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
NAU
0 - 3
SPO
40%
25%
35%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2014 |
NAU
0 - 1
BOT
71%
18%
11%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2014 |
SPO
0 - 1
NAU
59%
22%
20%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |