Central SC vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
41%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+67%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
POR
2 - 0
CEN
28%
23%
49%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2007 |
CEN
3 - 2
SAN
31%
23%
45%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
CEN
1 - 0
CAB
75%
16%
10%
|
60 | 33 | 27 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2007 |
VCR
1 - 2
CEN
23%
23%
54%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
SPO
2 - 0
CEN
63%
20%
17%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2007 |
NAU
0 - 1
SPO
60%
21%
19%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2007 |
NAU
3 - 2
BEL
90%
7%
3%
|
68 | 40 | 28 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
SAN
2 - 0
NAU
45%
25%
30%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2007 |
CAB
0 - 1
NAU
11%
18%
72%
|
69 | 33 | 36 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
NAU
4 - 1
SER
90%
8%
3%
|
69 | 42 | 27 | 0 |