Central SC vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.6%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
68.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
14%
1-3
6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1986 |
GUA
3 - 0
CEN
86%
9%
5%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1986 |
CEN
1 - 1
ATL
39%
27%
34%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1986 |
CEN
2 - 1
FLA
10%
18%
72%
|
61 | 89 | 28 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 1986 |
CEN
1 - 0
VIT
30%
28%
42%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1986 |
FLU
2 - 0
CEN
84%
11%
5%
|
61 | 87 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1986 |
ATL
0 - 1
GRE
27%
25%
48%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1986 |
GRE
1 - 0
FLU
53%
26%
21%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1986 |
GUA
2 - 1
GRE
49%
25%
26%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1986 |
GRE
1 - 1
VIT
69%
20%
12%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1986 |
FLA
1 - 1
GRE
62%
21%
17%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |