Central & Western vs North District analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
38.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
60
1º
6º
1º
34
1º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 39 |
3º
|
79.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
4º
|
79.5% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
79.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
34 | 35 |
6º
|
90.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
93.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
85% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
91.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 11 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 8 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central & Western
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
CAA
1 - 2
CWD
22%
23%
55%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
SCA
0 - 2
CWD
46%
24%
30%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
YOK
2 - 5
CWD
9%
16%
75%
|
46 | 15 | 31 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
CWD
2 - 0
EAD
53%
22%
25%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
CWD
7 - 1
HOI
62%
21%
17%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
North District
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
ISK
1 - 0
NDT
50%
24%
27%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
WON
0 - 0
NDT
8%
16%
76%
|
52 | 25 | 27 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
NDT
3 - 1
KWA
82%
13%
5%
|
52 | 30 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
NDT
1 - 2
SHA
61%
21%
18%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
SCA
4 - 0
NDT
24%
24%
53%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |