Centauros vs Unión Magdalena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.2%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
30.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Centauros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
TFC
1 - 0
CEN
43%
27%
30%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2008 |
CEN
2 - 1
COR
46%
27%
27%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2008 |
RIO
2 - 1
CEN
59%
24%
17%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2008 |
CEN
3 - 1
ACA
35%
29%
36%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2008 |
PAT
0 - 0
CEN
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
UNI
0 - 1
CAR
49%
27%
24%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2008 |
AGU
1 - 0
UNI
41%
29%
30%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2008 |
UNI
1 - 0
REA
63%
23%
14%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2008 |
UNI
3 - 2
RSC
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2008 |
TFC
0 - 1
UNI
41%
29%
31%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |