Cenicero vs Alfaro B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
21.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cenicero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
RBF
0 - 3
CEN
19%
21%
60%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
CEN
1 - 3
SPO
66%
18%
16%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
PRM
2 - 2
CEN
66%
18%
16%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
CEN
2 - 3
VIL
31%
22%
46%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
ALB
3 - 1
CEN
52%
21%
27%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Alfaro B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
CFC
2 - 1
ALD
30%
22%
48%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
CAL
1 - 0
CFC
61%
21%
19%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
CFC
3 - 1
LOG
23%
20%
57%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
ILO
1 - 5
CFC
34%
20%
46%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
CFC
1 - 4
VAR
16%
18%
67%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |