CENE vs Tupi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
30.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CENE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
CEN
4 - 2
MAD
39%
26%
35%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
MAD
1 - 1
CEN
57%
23%
20%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2010 |
TUP
1 - 1
CEN
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
CEN
0 - 1
BOT
25%
25%
50%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
CEN
1 - 1
ITA
41%
24%
35%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Tupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
TUP
1 - 0
BOT
38%
26%
36%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
BOT
1 - 1
TUP
67%
20%
13%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2010 |
TUP
1 - 1
CEN
65%
20%
15%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
MAD
1 - 0
TUP
43%
27%
30%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2010 |
TUP
1 - 1
IFC
28%
24%
48%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | -1 |