SPL Round 9

Celtic vs Kilmarnock analysis

Celtic Kilmarnock
83 ELO 63
18.6% Tilt 12.6%
455º General ELO ranking 529º
Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
76.1%
Celtic
14.5%
Draw
9.4%
Kilmarnock

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.1%
Win probability
Celtic
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
9.4%
Win probability
Kilmarnock
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Celtic
+30%
-4%
Kilmarnock

ELO progression

Celtic
Kilmarnock
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Celtic
Celtic
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Apr. 1904
HOM
Heart of Midlothian
2 - 1
Celtic
CEL
59%
20%
21%
83 83 0 0
26 Mar. 1904
MHE
Motherwell
1 - 2
Celtic
CEL
23%
23%
54%
83 70 13 0
12 Mar. 1904
CEL
Celtic
3 - 1
St. Mirren
STM
66%
19%
16%
83 76 7 0
06 Feb. 1904
PGA
Port Glasgow Athletic
2 - 3
Celtic
CEL
23%
23%
55%
83 68 15 0
30 Jan. 1904
DUN
Dundee
2 - 1
Celtic
CEL
33%
24%
43%
83 78 5 0

Matches

Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Mar. 1904
TLA
Third Lanark
3 - 2
Kilmarnock
KIL
71%
17%
12%
63 80 17 0
12 Mar. 1904
HIB
Hibernian FC
2 - 2
Kilmarnock
KIL
73%
16%
11%
63 83 20 0
05 Mar. 1904
KIL
Kilmarnock
2 - 3
Heart of Midlothian
HOM
20%
22%
59%
63 83 20 0
16 Jan. 1904
GLA
Rangers
3 - 0
Kilmarnock
KIL
82%
11%
7%
64 83 19 -1
09 Jan. 1904
KIL
Kilmarnock
2 - 1
Motherwell
MHE
32%
25%
43%
63 71 8 +1