Scottish Premiership Temporada Regular. Jor. 18

Celtic vs Heart of Midlothian analysis

Celtic Heart of Midlothian
81 ELO 76
25.3% Tilt 21%
272º General ELO ranking 314º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
68%
Celtic
18.4%
Draw
13.6%
Heart of Midlothian

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
Celtic
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
13.7%
Win probability
Heart of Midlothian
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Celtic
+25%
+9%
Heart of Midlothian

Points and table prediction

Celtic
Their league position
Heart of Midlothian
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
78
62
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Celtic
78
78
100%
Rangers FC
75
75
100%
Heart of Midlothian
62
62
100%
Kilmarnock
51
51
100%
St. Mirren
43
43
100%
Dundee
41
41
100%
Hibernian FC
39
39
100%
Motherwell
37
37
100%
Aberdeen
35
35
100%
St. Johnstone
10º
31
31
10º
100%
Ross County FC
11º
30
30
11º
100%
Livingston
12º
18
18
12º
100%
Expected probabilities
Celtic
Heart of Midlothian
Play-offs for the title
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%

ELO progression

Celtic
Heart of Midlothian
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Celtic
Celtic
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Dec. 2023
CEL
Celtic
2 - 1
Feyenoord
FEY
23%
20%
57%
81 88 7 0
10 Dec. 2023
KIL
Kilmarnock
2 - 1
Celtic
CEL
22%
23%
56%
81 72 9 0
06 Dec. 2023
CEL
Celtic
4 - 1
Hibernian FC
HIB
62%
20%
18%
81 77 4 0
03 Dec. 2023
STJ
St. Johnstone
1 - 3
Celtic
CEL
11%
19%
70%
81 64 17 0
28 Nov. 2023
LAZ
Lazio
2 - 0
Celtic
CEL
75%
16%
10%
81 91 10 0

Matches

Heart of Midlothian
Heart of Midlothian
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Dec. 2023
ABE
Aberdeen
2 - 1
Heart of Midlothian
HOM
41%
27%
33%
76 74 2 0
06 Dec. 2023
HOM
Heart of Midlothian
0 - 1
Rangers FC
GLA
34%
25%
41%
76 81 5 0
02 Dec. 2023
KIL
Kilmarnock
0 - 1
Heart of Midlothian
HOM
37%
27%
36%
75 71 4 +1
25 Nov. 2023
HOM
Heart of Midlothian
1 - 0
St. Johnstone
STJ
70%
19%
12%
75 64 11 0
11 Nov. 2023
MHE
Motherwell
1 - 2
Heart of Midlothian
HOM
40%
26%
34%
74 70 4 +1
X