Scottish League Cup Round 5

Celtic vs Heart of Midlothian analysis

Celtic Heart of Midlothian
84 ELO 81
-3.8% Tilt 1.3%
449º General ELO ranking 472º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
60.1%
Celtic
19.6%
Draw
20.3%
Heart of Midlothian

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.1%
Win probability
Celtic
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
20.3%
Win probability
Heart of Midlothian
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Celtic
+28%
+10%
Heart of Midlothian

ELO progression

Celtic
Heart of Midlothian
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Celtic
Celtic
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Aug. 1964
PAR
Partick Thistle
1 - 5
Celtic
CEL
48%
23%
30%
83 79 4 0
19 Aug. 1964
MHE
Motherwell
1 - 3
Celtic
CEL
35%
24%
42%
83 74 9 0
15 Aug. 1964
CEL
Celtic
4 - 1
Kilmarnock
KIL
56%
21%
23%
82 83 1 +1
12 Aug. 1964
HOM
Heart of Midlothian
0 - 3
Celtic
CEL
61%
19%
20%
82 83 1 0
08 Aug. 1964
CEL
Celtic
0 - 0
Partick Thistle
PAR
64%
19%
18%
82 78 4 0

Matches

Heart of Midlothian
Heart of Midlothian
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Aug. 1964
HOM
Heart of Midlothian
0 - 1
Kilmarnock
KIL
59%
20%
21%
82 83 1 0
19 Aug. 1964
HOM
Heart of Midlothian
8 - 1
Airdrieonians
AIR
77%
14%
9%
81 64 17 +1
15 Aug. 1964
PAR
Partick Thistle
2 - 1
Heart of Midlothian
HOM
47%
22%
30%
82 78 4 -1
12 Aug. 1964
HOM
Heart of Midlothian
0 - 3
Celtic
CEL
61%
19%
20%
83 82 1 -1
08 Aug. 1964
KIL
Kilmarnock
1 - 1
Heart of Midlothian
HOM
58%
20%
22%
83 83 0 0