SPL Round 9

Celtic vs Heart of Midlothian analysis

Celtic Heart of Midlothian
83 ELO 72
-11.1% Tilt -9.5%
455º General ELO ranking 472º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
59.5%
Celtic
21.9%
Draw
18.6%
Heart of Midlothian

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
Celtic
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
18.6%
Win probability
Heart of Midlothian
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Celtic
+28%
+11%
Heart of Midlothian

ELO progression

Celtic
Heart of Midlothian
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Celtic
Celtic
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Apr. 1923
PAR
Partick Thistle
0 - 2
Celtic
CEL
38%
28%
34%
83 74 9 0
24 Mar. 1923
CEL
Celtic
3 - 1
Greenock Morton
GRE
49%
25%
26%
83 83 0 0
17 Mar. 1923
CEL
Celtic
2 - 1
Dundee
DUN
47%
25%
29%
83 83 0 0
14 Mar. 1923
HAM
Hamilton Academical
1 - 1
Celtic
CEL
31%
25%
44%
83 67 16 0
03 Mar. 1923
CEL
Celtic
1 - 0
Alloa Athletic
ALL
88%
9%
3%
83 58 25 0

Matches

Heart of Midlothian
Heart of Midlothian
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Mar. 1923
HOM
Heart of Midlothian
0 - 0
Aberdeen
ABE
55%
24%
22%
72 72 0 0
24 Mar. 1923
HOM
Heart of Midlothian
1 - 1
Alloa Athletic
ALL
84%
11%
6%
73 58 15 -1
17 Mar. 1923
GRE
Greenock Morton
0 - 1
Heart of Midlothian
HOM
61%
21%
18%
72 83 11 +1
14 Mar. 1923
HOM
Heart of Midlothian
1 - 2
Motherwell
MHE
42%
25%
33%
72 79 7 0
03 Mar. 1923
FAL
Falkirk
1 - 0
Heart of Midlothian
HOM
52%
25%
24%
73 75 2 -1