SPL Round 5

Celtic vs Rangers analysis

Celtic Rangers
83 ELO 81
6.3% Tilt 14.7%
456º General ELO ranking 466º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
59.6%
Celtic
21.3%
Draw
19%
Rangers

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.6%
Win probability
Celtic
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
19%
Win probability
Rangers
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Celtic
+25%
+5%
Rangers

ELO progression

Celtic
Rangers
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Celtic
Celtic
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Jan. 1977
DUN
Dundee United
1 - 2
Celtic
CEL
40%
25%
35%
83 78 5 0
26 Dec. 1976
CEL
Celtic
2 - 2
Aberdeen
ABE
63%
21%
16%
83 80 3 0
18 Dec. 1976
CEL
Celtic
3 - 0
Ayr United
AYR
73%
17%
11%
83 70 13 0
27 Nov. 1976
CEL
Celtic
2 - 1
Kilmarnock
KIL
71%
17%
12%
83 70 13 0
24 Nov. 1976
GLA
Rangers
0 - 1
Celtic
CEL
44%
25%
32%
83 80 3 0

Matches

Rangers
Rangers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Jan. 1977
GLA
Rangers
3 - 0
Kilmarnock
KIL
65%
20%
15%
81 70 11 0
01 Jan. 1977
GLA
Rangers
1 - 0
Partick Thistle
PAR
62%
22%
17%
81 75 6 0
26 Dec. 1976
GLA
Rangers
1 - 0
Motherwell
MHE
63%
21%
16%
80 74 6 +1
27 Nov. 1976
HOM
Heart of Midlothian
0 - 1
Rangers
GLA
42%
27%
31%
80 75 5 0
24 Nov. 1976
GLA
Rangers
0 - 1
Celtic
CEL
44%
25%
32%
80 83 3 0