Celta Fortuna vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
24.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
CEL
0 - 1
RCF
27%
26%
47%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2007 |
COM
3 - 2
CEL
27%
26%
46%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
CEL
1 - 3
PPJ
48%
26%
26%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -2 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
COB
1 - 2
CEL
41%
25%
34%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
CEL
1 - 3
RAY
21%
25%
54%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
ATB
3 - 2
LUG
55%
25%
20%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2007 |
LUG
1 - 1
LEG
34%
28%
39%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
FUE
1 - 2
LUG
57%
25%
19%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
LUG
0 - 1
TAL
42%
26%
32%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
RAC
1 - 0
LUG
40%
27%
34%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |