Celta Fortuna vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
19.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
SAN
2 - 2
CEL
33%
25%
43%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1961 |
CEL
1 - 2
MAR
84%
11%
6%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 1961 |
ARO
1 - 2
CEL
51%
23%
26%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1961 |
CEL
1 - 0
ATO
75%
14%
10%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
DEP
2 - 1
CEL
43%
24%
33%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
LUG
5 - 0
ZEL
80%
12%
8%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1961 |
CHO
0 - 2
LUG
44%
24%
33%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1961 |
LUG
2 - 0
ALO
86%
10%
5%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1961 |
VIV
1 - 1
LUG
53%
23%
25%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
LUG
3 - 0
LEM
80%
12%
8%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +1 |