Cella vs Montecarlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
51.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+62%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
CAS
3 - 1
CEL
66%
21%
13%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
CEL
1 - 2
CDC
16%
21%
63%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
MOR
0 - 0
CEL
23%
25%
51%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
CEL
2 - 0
HER
40%
25%
35%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +2 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
CEL
3 - 0
BUJ
40%
23%
37%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
UDM
5 - 3
BUJ
78%
14%
8%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
CFV
0 - 3
UDM
70%
17%
12%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
UDM
0 - 4
FRA
16%
20%
64%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
SFE
0 - 2
UDM
26%
24%
51%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
UDM
0 - 3
QUI
35%
25%
40%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |