UCL Qualifying Second Round Final
Global 1-6
Celje vs Slovan Bratislava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
37.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
CEL
2 - 1
BRA
52%
26%
22%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2024 |
CEL
2 - 1
FLO
45%
24%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
FLO
0 - 5
CEL
51%
23%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
CEL
2 - 3
GAL
54%
24%
23%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
CEL
1 - 0
RAP
42%
24%
34%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Slovan Bratislava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
FCS
1 - 2
SBR
21%
21%
58%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
SBR
4 - 2
FCS
67%
19%
13%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
GYI
1 - 0
SBR
14%
18%
68%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
SBR
1 - 0
PET
62%
20%
18%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
CLU
1 - 0
SBR
40%
25%
36%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |