Celje vs Primorje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
17.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
NKN
0 - 0
CEL
43%
27%
30%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
CEL
0 - 1
DOM
53%
25%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
NKD
0 - 2
CEL
44%
26%
30%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
CEL
2 - 1
RUD
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
CEL
2 - 1
FCK
54%
24%
23%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Primorje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
NKP
0 - 0
FCK
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
NKN
2 - 0
NKP
49%
27%
24%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
NKP
0 - 3
NKI
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2008 |
DOM
0 - 0
NKP
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
NKP
1 - 3
GOR
39%
25%
36%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |