Celje vs FC Koper analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
27.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
61
2º
6º
4º
66
2º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
61 | 61 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2025 |
MAR
1 - 1
CEL
47%
25%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
NKP
0 - 5
CEL
34%
26%
40%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2025 |
FCK
1 - 1
CEL
44%
26%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
CEL
3 - 3
OLI
53%
24%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2025 |
CEL
2 - 1
OLI
54%
22%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
FC Koper
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2025 |
FCK
3 - 0
DOM
52%
24%
24%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2025 |
FCK
1 - 1
CEL
44%
26%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
NKN
1 - 5
FCK
28%
25%
47%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2025 |
FCK
3 - 0
BRA
53%
24%
24%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
FCK
1 - 0
BRA
51%
25%
23%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |