Celaya vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
14%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
PUM
0 - 0
TOR
65%
21%
14%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
VER
0 - 0
TOR
41%
26%
33%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
TOR
0 - 0
PUM
32%
28%
41%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | +2 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
TOR
3 - 0
REB
63%
22%
15%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
LOB
1 - 1
TOR
41%
26%
34%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
CAZ
1 - 2
DOR
37%
27%
37%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
UAT
3 - 0
CAZ
62%
22%
17%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
TOR
4 - 1
CAZ
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
NEC
1 - 0
CAZ
69%
21%
11%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
CAZ
0 - 3
LEO
21%
25%
54%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | -1 |