Ceilândia vs Sobradinho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
32.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
CEI
0 - 2
CEI
28%
25%
48%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
CEI
1 - 1
BRA
38%
26%
36%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
BRA
3 - 1
CEI
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
CEI
0 - 1
GAM
30%
25%
44%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 3
CEI
20%
23%
56%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Sobradinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
BRA
0 - 1
SOB
57%
23%
21%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
SOB
0 - 0
CDF
83%
12%
6%
|
49 | 17 | 32 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
LUZ
2 - 2
SOB
42%
26%
32%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
SOB
3 - 3
PAR
74%
17%
10%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
BRA
1 - 0
SOB
52%
24%
25%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |