Ceilândia vs Botafogo DF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
24.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2011 |
CEI
4 - 3
CFZ
61%
22%
18%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
CEI
2 - 1
CEI
37%
26%
37%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
BRA
0 - 0
CEI
47%
25%
28%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2011 |
CEI
0 - 5
DUQ
26%
24%
50%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
CEI
2 - 2
FOR
49%
24%
27%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo DF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
GAM
0 - 0
BDF
69%
19%
12%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
BDF
1 - 1
BRA
18%
21%
61%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
FOR
0 - 0
BDF
52%
23%
25%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
BDF
3 - 1
BRA
34%
25%
41%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +2 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
CFZ
1 - 1
BDF
34%
25%
41%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |