Ceilandense vs Botafogo DF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
25.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceilandense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
CEI
3 - 1
CEI
65%
20%
16%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
CEI
2 - 1
BRA
17%
20%
63%
|
34 | 64 | 30 | +2 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
LUZ
1 - 1
CEI
56%
23%
21%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
DOM
0 - 2
CEI
71%
18%
12%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | +2 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
CEI
2 - 1
BRA
18%
22%
60%
|
31 | 55 | 24 | +1 |
Matches
Botafogo DF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
BDF
2 - 2
LUZ
41%
25%
34%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
BDF
1 - 0
BRA
18%
22%
60%
|
31 | 55 | 24 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
CEI
1 - 0
BDF
69%
18%
13%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
GAM
2 - 2
BDF
76%
16%
8%
|
31 | 59 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
BDF
1 - 1
BRA
15%
20%
65%
|
30 | 64 | 34 | +1 |