Cefn Druids AFC vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.9%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
65.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
TNS
7 - 0
CEF
79%
14%
7%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2018 |
ABE
0 - 2
CEF
52%
24%
24%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2018 |
CEF
1 - 2
CON
22%
26%
52%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
YWF
1 - 3
CEF
7%
14%
79%
|
59 | 20 | 39 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2018 |
CEF
2 - 2
BAL
32%
25%
43%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
TNS
7 - 0
CEF
79%
14%
7%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
LLA
0 - 4
TNS
11%
19%
69%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2018 |
BAL
1 - 1
TNS
22%
24%
55%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
CWM
0 - 3
TNS
5%
10%
85%
|
74 | 45 | 29 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
TNS
1 - 1
CAR
79%
14%
7%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |