Cefn Druids AFC vs Ruthin Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.2%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.4%
4-0
10%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.3%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
10%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10%
3.8%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
LLA
0 - 2
CEF
29%
25%
46%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
CEF
3 - 0
CAE
54%
22%
24%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
POR
0 - 2
CEF
43%
24%
33%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
NEW
2 - 0
CEF
66%
19%
16%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
CON
3 - 2
CEF
43%
25%
33%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Ruthin Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
PEN
3 - 3
RTW
47%
23%
30%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
LLA
4 - 4
RTW
78%
15%
7%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
RTW
0 - 0
CON
14%
19%
67%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
RHY
3 - 2
RTW
87%
9%
4%
|
20 | 54 | 34 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
RTW
1 - 2
BUC
12%
19%
69%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | 0 |