Cefn Druids AFC vs Porthmadog analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
24%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
RHA
0 - 3
CEF
19%
21%
60%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
CEF
3 - 0
LLA
59%
21%
20%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
LLA
2 - 2
CEF
15%
20%
64%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2012 |
MYP
5 - 0
CEF
79%
15%
6%
|
43 | 70 | 27 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2012 |
CEF
0 - 0
MYP
15%
21%
64%
|
42 | 70 | 28 | +1 |
Matches
Porthmadog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
POR
3 - 1
LLA
86%
10%
5%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
POR
1 - 2
CON
69%
18%
14%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
LLA
2 - 2
POR
39%
25%
36%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
RTW
0 - 2
POR
15%
20%
65%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | +2 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
POR
2 - 1
FLI
62%
19%
19%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |