Cefn Druids AFC vs Newtown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
37.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2018 |
LLA
0 - 0
CEF
36%
28%
37%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
CEF
1 - 1
CAR
43%
27%
30%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
CON
3 - 1
CEF
70%
19%
11%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2018 |
CEF
1 - 0
ABE
47%
25%
28%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2018 |
CEF
1 - 1
CAE
51%
24%
26%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2018 |
CAM
1 - 0
NEW
15%
20%
66%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
NEW
1 - 1
TNS
22%
23%
55%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2018 |
CAE
0 - 3
NEW
36%
25%
39%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
BAL
3 - 2
NEW
42%
26%
32%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
NEW
2 - 0
BAR
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |