Cefn Druids AFC vs Mold Alexandra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.6%
Win probability
3.16
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.6%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.4%
9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
4º
13º
7º
35
2º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
50% | |
|
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
50% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 31 |
11º
|
49% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 28 |
12º
|
63.5% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 16 |
15º
|
68% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
68% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
CEF
3 - 4
LLA
56%
20%
24%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
POR
1 - 2
CEF
41%
22%
37%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
CEF
4 - 1
PEN
77%
13%
10%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
GRE
2 - 1
CEF
36%
23%
41%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CEF
3 - 1
BUC
61%
19%
20%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Mold Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
MOL
0 - 4
BRI
16%
19%
65%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
MOL
5 - 2
CON
48%
21%
31%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
HOL
2 - 0
MOL
84%
11%
5%
|
29 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
MOL
0 - 3
LLA
18%
21%
61%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
PRE
2 - 0
MOL
64%
18%
18%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -1 |