FAW Championship Gales North Round 20

Cefn Druids AFC vs Gresford Athletic analysis

Cefn Druids AFC Gresford Athletic
40 ELO 39
24.7% Tilt 13.7%
22022º General ELO ranking 5934º
122º Country ELO ranking 42º
ELO win probability
66%
Cefn Druids AFC
18.4%
Draw
15.6%
Gresford Athletic

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66%
Win probability
Cefn Druids AFC
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
15.6%
Win probability
Gresford Athletic
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Cefn Druids AFC
Their league position
Gresford Athletic
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
13º
32
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Colwyn Bay
82
85
100%
Holywell
77
77
100%
Llandudno FC
65
65
100%
Guilsfield FC
54
57
100%
Ruthin Town
48
51
100%
Prestatyn Town
43
46
50%
Cefn Druids AFC
43
43
50%
Buckley Town
42
42
100%
Gresford Athletic
10º
32
35
0%
Mold Alexandra
35
35
10º
0%
Porthmadog
11º
30
31
11º
49%
Llanidloes Town FC
12º
27
28
12º
63.5%
Chirk AAA
13º
26
26
13º
100%
Conwy Borough FC
14º
23
23
14º
100%
Holyhead Hotspur
15º
16
16
15º
68%
Penrhyncoch FC
16º
16
16
16º
68%
Expected probabilities
Cefn Druids AFC
Gresford Athletic
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Cefn Druids AFC
Gresford Athletic
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cefn Druids AFC
Cefn Druids AFC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Dec. 2022
PEN
Penrhyncoch FC
2 - 5
Cefn Druids AFC
CEF
17%
20%
63%
40 29 11 0
07 Dec. 2022
CEF
Cefn Druids AFC
6 - 1
Chirk AAA
AAA
75%
14%
12%
40 34 6 0
26 Nov. 2022
AAA
Chirk AAA
0 - 0
Cefn Druids AFC
CEF
27%
21%
52%
39 33 6 +1
19 Nov. 2022
CEF
Cefn Druids AFC
2 - 1
Mold Alexandra
MOL
79%
12%
9%
39 28 11 0
12 Nov. 2022
CEF
Cefn Druids AFC
3 - 4
Llanelli Town AFC
LLA
56%
20%
24%
40 38 2 -1

Matches

Gresford Athletic
Gresford Athletic
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Dec. 2022
GRE
Gresford Athletic
0 - 3
Buckley Town
BUC
47%
23%
30%
40 38 2 0
11 Dec. 2022
GRE
Gresford Athletic
2 - 0
Llanidloes Town FC
LLA
57%
21%
22%
39 33 6 +1
26 Nov. 2022
GRE
Gresford Athletic
0 - 2
Colwyn Bay
COL
15%
20%
65%
40 52 12 -1
19 Nov. 2022
LLA
Llanidloes Town FC
2 - 2
Gresford Athletic
GRE
33%
23%
44%
40 34 6 0
12 Nov. 2022
BAR
Barry Town
0 - 2
Gresford Athletic
GRE
75%
16%
9%
38 56 18 +2