Cefn Druids AFC vs Gresford Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.4%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
8.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2015 |
CEF
0 - 2
DEN
76%
15%
9%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
CAE
0 - 1
CEF
60%
20%
20%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
CEF
0 - 2
AIR
15%
21%
64%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
CEF
2 - 3
POR
71%
17%
12%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2015 |
PRE
0 - 2
CEF
48%
23%
29%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Gresford Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
GRE
2 - 1
POR
31%
24%
45%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
GRE
5 - 0
CAE
23%
22%
55%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | +3 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
LLA
0 - 3
GRE
52%
21%
27%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2015 |
DEN
3 - 3
GRE
69%
18%
13%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
HOL
3 - 3
GRE
78%
14%
8%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |