Cefn Druids AFC vs Cardiff MU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
30.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
CON
3 - 1
CEF
70%
19%
11%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2018 |
CEF
1 - 0
ABE
47%
25%
28%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2018 |
CEF
1 - 1
CAE
51%
24%
26%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
BAR
2 - 1
CEF
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
CEF
4 - 0
CAR
49%
25%
27%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
LLA
0 - 2
CAR
28%
26%
45%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 3
CON
28%
27%
45%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
CAR
4 - 1
TNS
16%
22%
62%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
CAR
3 - 1
CAR
50%
23%
27%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
NEW
2 - 1
CAR
55%
24%
22%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |