Cefn Druids AFC vs Barry Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
36.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
CEF
0 - 3
TNS
14%
21%
65%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
TNS
7 - 0
CEF
79%
14%
7%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2018 |
ABE
0 - 2
CEF
52%
24%
24%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2018 |
CEF
1 - 2
CON
22%
26%
52%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
YWF
1 - 3
CEF
7%
14%
79%
|
59 | 20 | 39 | -1 |
Matches
Barry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 2018 |
CAR
3 - 0
BAR
39%
28%
34%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
BAR
2 - 1
CAR
57%
24%
20%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
BAR
2 - 1
CAE
53%
23%
24%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2018 |
CAR
2 - 3
BAR
34%
28%
38%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2018 |
BAR
4 - 1
PEN
74%
16%
9%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |