Cefn Druids AFC vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
63.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
CEF
0 - 2
HAV
17%
20%
63%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2022 |
CEF
1 - 4
TNS
8%
16%
76%
|
39 | 69 | 30 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2022 |
TNS
5 - 1
CEF
90%
8%
2%
|
39 | 69 | 30 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2022 |
ABE
5 - 0
CEF
81%
12%
7%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2022 |
CEF
1 - 3
CAE
13%
19%
68%
|
39 | 62 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
BAL
2 - 2
ABE
74%
16%
9%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
BAL
2 - 1
ABE
77%
14%
9%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2022 |
HAV
0 - 0
ABE
36%
26%
38%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2022 |
ABE
2 - 0
HAV
49%
23%
28%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2022 |
ABE
5 - 0
CEF
81%
12%
7%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | +1 |