Cefn Druids AFC vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
32%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
CAR
3 - 0
CEF
63%
22%
16%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
CEF
0 - 0
LLA
67%
19%
15%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
BAR
3 - 2
CEF
63%
20%
17%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
NEW
1 - 1
CEF
65%
20%
15%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
CEF
2 - 5
BAR
36%
28%
37%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2019 |
LLA
2 - 4
ABE
29%
24%
47%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2019 |
ABE
1 - 1
LLA
57%
22%
21%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
ABE
1 - 3
CAR
29%
23%
48%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
BAR
2 - 1
ABE
62%
21%
17%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2019 |
ABE
1 - 6
CON
20%
25%
55%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | -1 |