Cefn Druids AFC vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
46.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2003 |
LLA
3 - 1
CEF
40%
24%
36%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2003 |
CEF
2 - 0
NEW
44%
26%
30%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2003 |
CON
4 - 1
CEF
58%
22%
20%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2003 |
CEF
2 - 1
CAE
54%
23%
23%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2003 |
LID
0 - 3
CEF
61%
23%
17%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | +2 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2003 |
ABE
2 - 0
CAR
61%
22%
17%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2003 |
ABE
3 - 1
CON
52%
24%
24%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +2 |
| 01 Feb. 2003 |
LLA
2 - 3
ABE
26%
24%
51%
|
67 | 47 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2003 |
ABE
1 - 3
CAE
52%
24%
25%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2003 |
NEW
3 - 1
ABE
30%
26%
44%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |