CEF Flamengo vs Guarany de Bagé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
37.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CEF Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2009 |
FAR
2 - 2
CEF
61%
21%
18%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
CEF
2 - 1
GEB
26%
25%
49%
|
25 | 47 | 22 | +4 |
| 21 Apr. 2009 |
PEL
4 - 0
CEF
73%
17%
10%
|
25 | 49 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
CEF
1 - 1
PEL
20%
24%
57%
|
22 | 50 | 28 | +3 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
SAO
3 - 2
CEF
74%
16%
10%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Guarany de Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2009 |
GUA
0 - 1
GEB
36%
26%
38%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2009 |
PEL
1 - 0
GUA
64%
20%
16%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
GUA
2 - 1
RIO
35%
25%
40%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
ECJ
3 - 0
GUA
36%
24%
40%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | -2 |
| 15 Apr. 2009 |
RIO
2 - 0
GUA
50%
24%
26%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |