CEF Flamengo vs GE Bagé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
52.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CEF Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2008 |
CEF
0 - 1
FAR
20%
22%
58%
|
16 | 39 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2008 |
PEL
0 - 0
CEF
77%
15%
8%
|
15 | 50 | 35 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
ECJ
0 - 0
CEF
76%
15%
9%
|
14 | 33 | 19 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
CEF
1 - 3
RIO
22%
24%
55%
|
16 | 43 | 27 | -2 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
RIO
2 - 1
CEF
73%
17%
10%
|
16 | 43 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
GE Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
ECJ
0 - 0
GEB
35%
25%
40%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2008 |
GEB
2 - 0
FAR
48%
24%
28%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
GEB
1 - 2
SAO
40%
25%
35%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2008 |
PEL
1 - 0
GEB
59%
22%
19%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2008 |
GEB
1 - 4
PEL
42%
26%
32%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -2 |