El Verger vs Simat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
25.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
+75%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Verger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
MIR
1 - 4
VER
24%
20%
56%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
FON
4 - 3
VER
62%
19%
19%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
VER
2 - 2
ROT
35%
22%
44%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
VER
1 - 3
VIL
27%
21%
51%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
REA
3 - 2
VER
74%
15%
11%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Simat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
SIM
0 - 2
GAN
18%
19%
63%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
DAI
1 - 1
SIM
25%
22%
53%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
SIM
1 - 1
BEN
47%
22%
31%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
BEN
2 - 2
SIM
44%
22%
34%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |