Ceará vs Tombense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.4%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
17.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.6%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.3%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
0
16.5%
6%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2022 |
ATP
1 - 0
CEA
42%
27%
31%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
CEA
3 - 0
DEP
77%
16%
7%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
CEA
0 - 1
BRA
42%
26%
32%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
JLM
0 - 2
CEA
32%
26%
43%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2022 |
TOM
0 - 2
CEA
21%
26%
54%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Tombense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2022 |
SPO
2 - 0
TOM
63%
24%
13%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
TOM
1 - 1
VAS
28%
28%
44%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 1
TOM
56%
27%
17%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
TOM
1 - 1
CRZ
25%
28%
47%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2022 |
TOM
0 - 2
CEA
21%
26%
54%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | -1 |