Ceará vs Quixadá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.5%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
14%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
8%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
CEA
1 - 0
GUA
86%
11%
3%
|
68 | 40 | 28 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
TIR
0 - 1
CEA
15%
21%
64%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2016 |
CEA
3 - 3
FLA
31%
26%
43%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
CEA
1 - 0
MAC
64%
21%
15%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
AMF
1 - 1
CEA
58%
24%
19%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Quixadá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
QUI
3 - 1
CEA
13%
21%
66%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 1
QUI
40%
26%
35%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 2
QUI
27%
25%
48%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
QUI
4 - 1
MAR
65%
20%
15%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2015 |
CEA
3 - 1
QUI
83%
12%
5%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | 0 |