Ceará vs Oeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
19.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 1
CEA
47%
27%
27%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
CEA
2 - 2
BAH
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
SAM
1 - 0
CEA
45%
26%
29%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
CEA
1 - 0
NAU
63%
21%
16%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
CRB
1 - 3
CEA
35%
27%
38%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
OES
1 - 1
BRA
45%
27%
29%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
BOT
1 - 1
OES
72%
19%
10%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
OES
2 - 1
BOA
49%
27%
24%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2015 |
OES
0 - 0
CRB
49%
27%
25%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
MOG
0 - 0
OES
41%
26%
33%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |