Ceará vs Mogi Mirim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
14.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2015 |
TUP
1 - 2
CEA
26%
26%
49%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
BOA
0 - 0
CEA
30%
28%
42%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2015 |
CEA
0 - 0
TUP
71%
18%
11%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
CEA
1 - 1
CRI
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2015 |
CEA
0 - 0
BOT
35%
27%
38%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Mogi Mirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2015 |
MOG
3 - 1
MAC
34%
27%
39%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 1
MOG
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2015 |
MOG
2 - 1
NAU
33%
28%
39%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
AMF
3 - 1
MOG
67%
20%
13%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
MOG
0 - 1
CRB
46%
27%
27%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |