Ceará vs Luverdense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.3%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
8.2%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2014 |
BOT
1 - 2
CEA
60%
22%
17%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
POR
1 - 1
CEA
42%
27%
32%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
CEA
1 - 2
ABC
74%
17%
9%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
VAS
2 - 0
CEA
58%
23%
19%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2014 |
CEA
3 - 1
SCI
40%
26%
34%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
LUV
2 - 2
JEC
33%
27%
40%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
AMF
2 - 0
LUV
58%
24%
18%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
LUV
0 - 2
NAU
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2014 |
LUV
3 - 1
POR
30%
28%
42%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
AVA
1 - 2
LUV
58%
24%
18%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |