Ceará vs Guarany de Sobral analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.6%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.9%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
15.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.2%
+3
18.2%
2-0
19.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.4%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
<0%
+1
23%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
12.9%
3.5%
Win probability
0.31
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
-1
3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
VIT
1 - 1
CEA
42%
25%
33%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2019 |
CEA
2 - 0
HOR
81%
14%
5%
|
77 | 47 | 30 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
CEA
2 - 1
ALT
84%
13%
3%
|
77 | 44 | 33 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2019 |
CEN
1 - 1
CEA
6%
17%
77%
|
77 | 47 | 30 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
FLO
0 - 4
CEA
4%
10%
86%
|
77 | 44 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
GUA
0 - 1
FOR
7%
17%
76%
|
43 | 70 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2019 |
HOR
1 - 2
GUA
57%
23%
20%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +2 |
| 31 Jan. 2019 |
GUA
1 - 0
UNI
33%
27%
40%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
GUA
0 - 0
IGU
41%
24%
35%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2019 |
GUA
0 - 0
GUA
28%
24%
48%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |