Ceará vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
53.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
FLA
1 - 0
CEA
70%
19%
11%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
CEA
0 - 0
ATL
39%
28%
33%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2010 |
CEA
0 - 1
ARN
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
SAO
2 - 1
CEA
68%
20%
12%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2010 |
CSA
1 - 1
CEA
19%
23%
57%
|
73 | 49 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
GRE
2 - 0
GOI
61%
21%
18%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2010 |
GRE
0 - 2
GOI
61%
22%
17%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
GRE
1 - 2
FLU
53%
24%
23%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2010 |
GOI
1 - 1
GRE
38%
26%
36%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
SCI
0 - 0
GRE
49%
25%
27%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |