Ceará vs La Guaira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
10.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
CEA
0 - 1
BRA
39%
26%
35%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
JLM
0 - 2
CEA
30%
26%
44%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2022 |
TOM
0 - 2
CEA
20%
26%
54%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
CEA
1 - 3
BOT
63%
23%
14%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2022 |
DEP
0 - 2
CEA
23%
28%
49%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
La Guaira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2022 |
TAC
3 - 3
DEP
60%
22%
17%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
DEP
0 - 2
IND
24%
26%
51%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2022 |
DEP
3 - 3
ARA
51%
27%
23%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
DEP
2 - 3
LAR
45%
28%
27%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2022 |
DEP
0 - 2
CEA
23%
28%
49%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | -1 |