Liga do Nordeste Group A Round 1

Ceará vs ABC analysis

Ceará ABC
75 ELO 64
-2.2% Tilt -6.1%
126º General ELO ranking 1584º
Country ELO ranking 55º
ELO win probability
64.6%
Ceará
20.5%
Draw
14.9%
ABC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.6%
Win probability
Ceará
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
15%
Win probability
ABC
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ceará
-2%
+4%
ABC

ELO progression

Ceará
ABC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ceará
Ceará
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Nov. 2012
CEA
Ceará
1 - 2
CRB
CRB
77%
16%
7%
75 55 20 0
24 Oct. 2012
CEA
Ceará
0 - 1
Paraná
PAR
68%
20%
11%
76 64 12 -1
17 Oct. 2012
SAO
São Caetano
2 - 0
Ceará
CEA
33%
28%
39%
76 68 8 0
30 Sep. 2012
CEA
Ceará
1 - 1
Ipatinga FC
IFC
74%
18%
9%
76 60 16 0
12 Sep. 2012
ABC
ABC
0 - 1
Ceará
CEA
31%
28%
42%
76 65 11 0

Matches

ABC
ABC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Nov. 2012
ABC
ABC
1 - 2
Avaí
AVA
32%
26%
42%
65 73 8 0
31 Oct. 2012
PAR
Paraná
1 - 2
ABC
ABC
48%
25%
26%
64 65 1 +1
26 Oct. 2012
ABC
ABC
3 - 2
Goiás EC
GOI
23%
25%
52%
63 77 14 +1
24 Oct. 2012
GUA
Guaratinguetá
2 - 1
ABC
ABC
35%
27%
38%
64 59 5 -1
17 Oct. 2012
CRI
Criciúma
2 - 0
ABC
ABC
49%
25%
26%
65 64 1 -1