Ceará vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.6%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
15%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
CEA
1 - 2
CRB
77%
16%
7%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2012 |
CEA
0 - 1
PAR
68%
20%
11%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2012 |
SAO
2 - 0
CEA
33%
28%
39%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
CEA
1 - 1
IFC
74%
18%
9%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
ABC
0 - 1
CEA
31%
28%
42%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2012 |
ABC
1 - 2
AVA
32%
26%
42%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
PAR
1 - 2
ABC
48%
25%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
ABC
3 - 2
GOI
23%
25%
52%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 1
ABC
35%
27%
38%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2012 |
CRI
2 - 0
ABC
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |