Liga Brasileña Sub 23 1st Stage Round 6

Ceará U23 vs Fluminense U23 analysis

Ceará U23 Fluminense U23
50 ELO 46
0.5% Tilt 0.7%
46299º General ELO ranking 46308º
1264º Country ELO ranking 1273º
ELO win probability
55.4%
Ceará U23
22.1%
Draw
22.5%
Fluminense U23

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
Ceará U23
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
22.5%
Win probability
Fluminense U23
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ceará U23
+15%
+4%
Fluminense U23

ELO progression

Ceará U23
Fluminense U23
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ceará U23
Ceará U23
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Nov. 2020
COR
Corinthians U23
1 - 1
Ceará U23
CEA
41%
24%
35%
49 47 2 0
01 Nov. 2020
CEA
Ceará U23
3 - 2
Juventude U23
JUV
63%
20%
17%
49 44 5 0
29 Oct. 2020
FOR
Fortaleza U23
2 - 0
Ceará U23
CEA
44%
24%
32%
50 48 2 -1
22 Oct. 2020
CEA
Ceará U23
3 - 1
RB Bragantino U23
RBB
66%
19%
15%
48 41 7 +2
18 Oct. 2020
SAN
Santa Cruz U23
1 - 5
Ceará U23
CEA
31%
24%
45%
47 39 8 +1

Matches

Fluminense U23
Fluminense U23
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Nov. 2020
FLU
Fluminense U23
3 - 1
Paysandú U23
PAY
59%
21%
20%
46 41 5 0
01 Nov. 2020
SAN
Santos U23
2 - 2
Fluminense U23
FLU
49%
24%
28%
46 46 0 0
29 Oct. 2020
FLU
Fluminense U23
2 - 1
Gremio U23
GRE
34%
24%
42%
44 49 5 +2
23 Oct. 2020
FLU
Fluminense U23
1 - 1
Coritiba U23
COR
63%
20%
17%
44 38 6 0
17 Oct. 2020
AVA
Avai U23
1 - 0
Fluminense U23
FLU
54%
23%
24%
43 44 1 +1