Farners vs Hermes A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
33.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 1
CEF
47%
25%
28%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
ABD
3 - 0
CEF
22%
22%
56%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | -2 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
CEF
1 - 0
SAN
49%
25%
26%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
CEF
3 - 1
FCA
50%
25%
25%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
UEA
0 - 0
CEF
29%
26%
45%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Hermes A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
FPH
1 - 2
VIC
50%
22%
28%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
TOR
0 - 2
FPH
44%
22%
34%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
FPH
1 - 1
TOR
55%
21%
24%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
FPH
5 - 1
GRA
87%
9%
4%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
LLO
3 - 3
FPH
13%
18%
69%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |