Cinctorra vs Tirig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.9%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
16.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cinctorra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
BEN
1 - 0
CIN
68%
17%
15%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
CIN
1 - 2
BOR
26%
21%
54%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2017 |
CIN
1 - 3
ATZ
68%
17%
15%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
CHE
1 - 2
CIN
81%
12%
8%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
CIN
1 - 1
VIL
29%
22%
50%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Tirig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
TIR
1 - 4
CHE
15%
18%
67%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
VIL
4 - 1
TIR
78%
14%
8%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
TIR
0 - 6
VIN
40%
21%
39%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
ESP
0 - 2
TIR
67%
17%
17%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
ALB
2 - 2
TIR
82%
11%
6%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | +1 |