Cruz Azul vs Tijuana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
11.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
JAG
1 - 1
CAZ
34%
26%
40%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
CAZ
2 - 1
ATL
61%
22%
17%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2011 |
PAC
1 - 0
CAZ
41%
25%
33%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
CAZ
2 - 1
ATS
62%
22%
16%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
TIG
1 - 1
CAZ
37%
27%
37%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Tijuana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
TIJ
1 - 1
PUE
32%
27%
41%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 3
TIJ
77%
16%
8%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
MON
4 - 2
TIJ
73%
18%
9%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
TIJ
1 - 2
MOR
25%
28%
47%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
TIJ
2 - 1
IRA
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |